Indicators

Indicators whose formula you can see.

Every metric is documented: formula, parameters, data source and history. No black box, no “trust me”.

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Indicators · Risk Metric BTC
BTC · 5Y · Log0,37
risk = norm( ln(P) − ln(SMA₃₅₀) ) · time weighting
Show formula & parameters →

Risk Metric & log regression

Where is the price relative to its long-term trend? Normalised from 0 to 1, with an open formula.

BMSB & trend state

Bull Market Support Band and trend state with flip history – including the track record of past changes.

Dominance & seasonality

BTC and stablecoin dominance plus average monthly and weekday returns.

Correlation

Rolling correlation of Bitcoin with the Nasdaq, gold, the US dollar and Net Liquidity.

How it looks in Simple and Expert

Simple
Risk Metric BTC
Risk is medium-low.
Trend state
The trend is pointing up.
Correlation
Bitcoin is currently moving like tech stocks.
Expert
Risk Metric BTC
0.37 · 30d avg 0.34 · formula: norm(ln P − ln SMA₃₅₀)
Trend state
Up for 41 days · 12 flips/5y · 67 % held
Correlation
ρ(BTC, NDX, 90d) = 0.62 · ρ(gold) = 0.08

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